Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 0.000115 0.000126 0.000138 0.000152 0.000168 0.000184 0.000204
2025-11-16 0.000091 0.000107 0.000126 0.000149 0.000177 0.000210 0.000252
2025-11-23 0.000076 0.000094 0.000116 0.000145 0.000183 0.000230 0.000294
2025-11-30 0.000068 0.000088 0.000113 0.000147 0.000194 0.000257 0.000347
2025-12-07 0.000062 0.000083 0.000110 0.000150 0.000206 0.000285 0.000404
2025-12-14 0.000055 0.000076 0.000105 0.000147 0.000210 0.000300 0.000445
2025-12-21 0.000049 0.000070 0.000098 0.000142 0.000209 0.000309 0.000476
2025-12-28 0.000046 0.000066 0.000096 0.000142 0.000216 0.000331 0.000529
2026-01-04 0.000043 0.000064 0.000094 0.000143 0.000224 0.000354 0.000587
2026-01-11 0.000040 0.000060 0.000090 0.000141 0.000227 0.000369 0.000633
2026-01-18 0.000038 0.000058 0.000089 0.000142 0.000234 0.000391 0.000694
2026-01-25 0.000035 0.000054 0.000085 0.000139 0.000235 0.000404 0.000739
2026-02-01 0.000033 0.000052 0.000083 0.000139 0.000240 0.000424 0.000804
2026-02-08 0.000030 0.000049 0.000080 0.000137 0.000242 0.000440 0.000863
2026-02-15 0.000028 0.000046 0.000077 0.000133 0.000242 0.000451 0.000912
2026-02-22 0.000027 0.000045 0.000076 0.000135 0.000252 0.000482 0.001012
2026-03-01 0.000026 0.000044 0.000076 0.000138 0.000263 0.000518 0.001126
2026-03-08 0.000024 0.000042 0.000073 0.000135 0.000263 0.000532 0.001191
2026-03-15 0.000022 0.000039 0.000069 0.000130 0.000258 0.000534 0.001228
2026-03-22 0.000021 0.000038 0.000068 0.000131 0.000265 0.000562 0.001335
2026-03-29 0.000021 0.000037 0.000067 0.000132 0.000273 0.000592 0.001453
2026-04-05 0.000020 0.000035 0.000065 0.000130 0.000274 0.000609 0.001536
2026-04-12 0.000019 0.000035 0.000065 0.000130 0.000281 0.000639 0.001662